The 2022 World Cup Asian Qualifying Tournament recently completed the draw for the group, Taiwan and Australia, Jordan, Kuwait and Nepal in the same group, although not a very bad sign, but also not too good, the road away from the road are quite far, to be
beyond the pale
Not impossible, but really difficult.
World Cup Qualification
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The conditions for the next round are that the eight group winners and the four best-performing group seconds, if the host country, Katha, is also successful in
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The fifth best team could be the second best team.
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.. Referring to the results of the second round of qualification of the last World Cup, Jordan and North Korea, the two second-placed teams with 16 points in the end, failed to
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It's like trying to
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In the next round, it is essential to get more than 16 points. Of course, we can start with the assumption that the new Asian Cup champions Kadar can
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The second place in the group with the fifth best result can also go through, that is to say, it is necessary to get 16 points to have a better chance to play to the next round. That means we need to get 16 points to have a better chance of making it to the next round. Before we do that, let's take a look at the results of the five teams in this group in the last five years in major tournaments:
Taiwan's competition results in recent years are as follows
Friendlies vs Nepal 2019:
1-1 tie, Taiwan home
2018 East Asian Cup Second Round: 1 win, 2 losses, eliminated
AFC Asian Cup 2017 Qualification: 3 wins, 3 losses, group eliminated
Asian Cup 2016 Qualification: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
2015-2016 World Cup Qualifying: 0 wins and 6 losses eliminated
The results of Australia's competitions in recent years for the first tranche are as follows
Asian Cup 2019: 3 wins, 2 losses.
Lost 0-1 to Jordan in the first match of the group stage.
Eliminated in the last 8 against UAE (0-1)
2018 Friendlies vs. Kuwait.
4-0 win, Kuwait at home
2018 WC Intra-Conference: 1 draw, 2 losses, group elimination
2015-2017 WC qualification: 14 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses.
1 win and 1 loss against Jordan in the second round, losing 0-2 on the road and winning 5-1 at home.
Confederation Cup 2017: 2 draws, 1 loss, group elimination
Jordan, the second-ranked team, has had the following results in recent years
Asian Cup 2019: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
1-0 win over Australia in the group stage.
semifinals
PKs lose to Vietnam for elimination
Friendlies against Kuwait in 2018:
1-0 win, on a neutral court
2017-2018 AFC Asian Cup Qualification: 3 wins, 3 draws
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Both draws against Vietnam.
2015-2016 WC qualification: 5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses.
1 win and 1 loss against Australia in the second round, winning 2-0 at home and losing 1-5 on the road.
Second group eliminated
Friendlies against Kuwait in 2015:
Tied 2-2, on a neutral court
Kuwait, in the fourth slot, has had the following results in recent years
Friendlies vs Nepal 2019:
0-0 draw, Kuwait home
2018 Friendlies vs. Australia.
Lost 0-4, Kuwait at home
2018 Friendlies vs. Jordan.
Lost 0-1 at neutral site
Gulf Cup 2017, 1 draw, 2 losses, eliminated from group stage
2015-2016 WC qualification: 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, eliminated in the second round
Nepal in the fifth slot has had the following competition results in recent years
2019 Friendlies vs Taiwan:
1-1 tie, Taiwan home
2019 Friendlies vs Kuwait:
0-0 draw, Kuwait home
South Asian Football Championship 2018: 2 wins, 2 losses, eliminated in last 4 with 0-3 loss to Maldives
2017-2018 AFC Asian Cup Qualification: eliminated with 2 draws and 4 losses
AFC Unity Cup 2016: 3 wins, 1 draw to win the title, 1-0 win over Macau in the final
World Cup 2015 Qualification: 0-2 on aggregate against India in Round 1
Mutual record of the five countries: Australia: 2 wins, 2 losses; Jordan: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; Taiwan: 1 draw; Kuwait: 1 draw, 2 losses; Nepal: 2 draws
As you can see from each other's results, the best in the last five years has been Jordan, with two wins and one loss against Australia. Taiwan and Kuwait both drew with Nepal.
To get 16 points at least 5 wins, the best situation is of course the fourth and fifth gear of Kuwait and Nepal, home and away a total of 4 wins, 12 points in hand, the rest will be from the hands of Australia and Jordan to get 4 points, a more realistic assumption is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, 1 win and 1 draw, of course, we should hope that the home to collect, as for this 1 win is Jordan or Australia, I think the Jordan or a better chance if the Jordan can be a repeat of the situation of the Asian Cup reversal of Bahrain, the chance of Jordan to win the Asian Cup. If Jordan can repeat their Asian Cup comeback against Bahrain, they will have a good chance to win.
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And when is this match? It's on September 5, 2019, which is also the first game of qualifying, in other words, if the goal is to
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That first home game is Taiwan.
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If we can get a win, the remaining one point depends on whether we can draw with Australia at home, or go to Jordan to get a draw at home. But that's all for later, we need to win the first match at home against Jordan first.
Of course, this is a theoretical situation, after all, looking at the above head-to-head record, it's not like Jordan hasn't won against Australia, and they did so at this year's Asian Cup, so even if the above script is followed, it doesn't mean that necessarily
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. What's more, the fourth and fifth ranked Kuwait and Nepal don't have a full win either. Kuwait's strength is not bad, just due to political interference in 2015, was suspended by FIFA for two years, so not many competitions to participate in, rankings straight down, their world ranking before being banned is 127, and Taiwan is about the same as now. As for Nepal, we didn't win the friendly at home this year either.
