After the World Cup Round of 8, FiveThirtyEight's supercomputer has been working again and calculated the chances of each team to win this year's World Cup, and Brazil has the biggest chance to win the Cup, with a 33% chance.
According to the calculation, Brazil's SPI is 93.5, the highest among the 32 teams, while the SPI of their opponent in the Top 8, Croatia, is only 79, the only second place among the Top 8 teams in the group stage.
beyond the pale
There is a clear distance between the teams, and the chances of Brazil winning in the last 8 are as high as 77%.
Another game worth noting is Portugal vs. Morocco. Portugal's SPI is 87.9, ranking No. 2, while Morocco's opponent is only 74.4, the lowest among the eight teams, and according to calculations, Portugal's success rate in the Top 8 is as high as 68%.
As for the remaining two matches in the round of 8, Holland v Argentina and England v France, the winning percentages are relatively close, not lopsided, with England winning 52% and France 48%, basically no difference.
on the basis of
advancement
As for the remaining 4 powerhouses, Portugal, England, Argentina and France, the winning percentage is 12 to 14%, which is quite close.
