With the drums beating in the sixth round of the UEFA Europa League, the focus of discussion among fans has turned to who will be the first to lock up a place in the round of 16. Opta's data analysis shows that a team that accumulates 8 points in a game has a 98% chance of making it to the top eight, and a team that accumulates 16 points has an even better chance of making it directly to the round of 16, according to the Opta data analysis. For a team that accumulates 15 points, the probability of entering the top eight is also 73%. But if the point difference is only one point, i.e. 14 points, the probability will plummet to 28%. In the current situation, if Liverpool and Inter Milan can win in this round of matches, a place in the round of 16 is almost within reach.

In order to qualify for the play-offs, you need to look at the distribution of points in the "Swiss League". Generally speaking, teams from 9th to 24th place can participate in two rounds of play-offs. Theoretically, players with 10 points almost always get a ticket, while players with 9 points have a 69% chance of reaching the play-offs.

Defending champions Real Madrid are currently on six points, and if they win all three of their remaining matches, they will have nine points and are expected to qualify for the last eight, while if they have fewer than four points, they will have to go through the play-offs to qualify. Paris Saint-Germain, the other giant, has 4 points, and their next three matches will be away to Salzburg, home to Manchester City, and away to Stuttgart. Whether PSG can get enough points in the remaining matches to break through to the final round is undoubtedly a big question mark.

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